Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.259357 2.581059 2.933178 3.347349 3.821409 4.347354 4.975544
2025-08-10 1.729879 2.156304 2.665684 3.319712 4.138416 5.131063 6.428664
2025-08-17 1.425182 1.885366 2.468873 3.264462 4.323561 5.688700 7.588213
2025-08-24 1.256071 1.744641 2.395213 3.327173 4.632338 6.401836 8.994705
2025-08-31 1.123866 1.628189 2.328784 3.376345 4.909473 7.081479 10.411076
2025-09-07 0.998748 1.502152 2.228315 3.356392 5.073585 7.603928 11.642954
2025-09-14 0.885789 1.378313 2.113499 3.295982 5.161647 8.011161 12.730956
2025-09-21 0.798461 1.282103 2.027248 3.264992 5.283884 8.471955 13.937469
2025-09-28 0.720316 1.190965 1.937779 3.216147 5.367075 8.871174 15.075321
2025-10-05 0.705549 1.200100 2.007598 3.430782 5.898786 10.043290 17.615647
2025-10-12 0.656952 1.147217 1.969231 3.457838 6.112838 10.699130 19.328019
2025-10-19 0.628258 1.125205 1.979955 3.568828 6.480473 11.649152 21.653384
2025-10-26 0.576437 1.061505 1.919576 3.561216 6.660799 12.331307 23.656359
2025-11-02 0.525655 0.995195 1.849382 3.531274 6.803163 12.972065 25.685896
2025-11-09 0.477412 0.927910 1.769498 3.472450 6.880717 13.493695 27.537110
2025-11-16 0.450244 0.897824 1.755914 3.539243 7.208962 14.532143 30.547638
2025-11-23 0.424074 0.866691 1.736641 3.591618 7.512228 15.550714 33.636101
2025-11-30 0.392655 0.821480 1.684525 3.570365 7.659233 16.262260 36.149911
2025-12-07 0.360206 0.770664 1.615699 3.506021 7.706235 16.765753 38.262271
2025-12-14 0.333934 0.730193 1.564206 3.473013 7.816825 17.415959 40.781139
2025-12-21 0.308543 0.689003 1.507007 3.420989 7.878354 17.962251 43.121511
2025-12-28 0.308086 0.703086 1.571262 3.649602 8.606917 20.097947 49.512895
2026-01-04 0.291945 0.679860 1.550141 3.678420 8.869507 21.178995 53.454380